Indonesia Tourism Report Q2 2015
Indonesia's government is highly supportive of the tourism industry. It has established the country's first standalone Ministry of Tourism and has announced a tourism arrivals target of 20mn visitors by 2019. In order to achieve this, the country is relaxing visa requirements and also investing in marketing campaigns such as 'Wonderful Indonesia' and the drive to increase Islamic tourism to the island of Lombok. In 2015 we do expect to see an increase in arrivals of around 4%, with visitor figures reaching just under 9.5mn. While growth is expected to continue throughout the remainder of our forecast period to 2019, we do believe government targets are overly ambitious at present.
Despite growth in the inbound travel market, outbound travel will remain the larger market throughout the forecast period. Boosted by domestic economic growth, rising household consumption and a gradual improvement in unemployment rates, we expect to see steady increases in outbound travel from Indonesia. As with inbound travel, the market will be dominated by Indonesia's Asia Pacific neighbours, particularly nearby Singapore and Malaysia, due to the ease and relative affordability of regional travel.
Over the longer term there are some potential growth headwinds. Indonesia imposes restrictions on foreign investments and corruption is an ongoing concern. While the government is highly supportive of...
The Indonesia Tourism Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for tourist expenditure; government expenditure on tourism; passenger arrivals and departures by mode of transport, reason for travel, origin and destination; and the accommodation market.
BMI's Indonesia Tourism Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Indonesian tourism industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent tourism industry forecasts for Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Indonesian tourism market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Indonesian tourism sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Indonesia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
This contains a synopsis of our forecasts, and any changes, together with an overview of key trends and developments in the tourism industry, and an assessment of the impact of various economic and national factors which might affect the sector. It also covers new transport projects, new hotel developments, and acquisitions.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the tourism sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Forecasts to end-2019 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:
BMIs Tourism Risk Reward Index
- Inbound Tourism: Total arrivals (000 and growth % y-o-y), arrivals by region (000 and growth % y-o-y), arrivals by country (000 and growth % y-o-y), top 10 source countries for arrivals.
- Outbound Tourism: Total departures (000 and growth % y-o-y), departures by regional destination (000 and growth % y-o-y), departures by country (000 and growth % y-o-y), top 10 destination countries.
- Travel & Receipts: Methods of travel for arrivals (air, ship, rail) (000 and growth % y-o-y), international tourism receipts for transport (USDbn and growth % y-o-y), international tourism receipts for travel items (USDbn and growth % y-o-y).
- Hotels: Hotel industry value (USDbn and growth % y-o-y), number of hotels (000 and growth % y-o-y), total overnight stays (000 and growth % y-o-y), length of stay, occupancy rate (%), number of total
BMIs Risk Reward Indices provide investors (tour operators, tourism infrastructure investors, financial institutions) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a markets risks and potential rewards.
Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
This contains a comprehensive overview of the tourism industry in the country, its overall value, the value of its hotels industry, trends in the hotels industry and any new developments. It also contains an evaluation of the top 10 global hotel groups presence in the country, which brands are present in which cities, the number of hotels and any planned developments and strategies. The Market Overview also considers the tourism infrastructure developments in the country, in particular transport infrastructure projects such as ports and airports. Tables are also included from our regularly updated Key Projects Database, which contain details of projects, their value, the time frame, their current status, the companies involved and their estimated completion dates.
This section provides insight into key domestic players in the hotel industry, discussing, for example, the number of hotels, brands, financial data, geographical spread, recent developments and strategies of individual companies.
The Tourism Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reprts instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.
The Indonesia tourism report examines a range of key market indicators in this flourishing tourism destination in the midst of the competitive Asia Pacific region. Building upon its reputation as an affordable yet luxurious holiday destination, Indonesia continues to attract visitors from both its Asia Pacific neighbours and key global markets including the UK, US and Saudi Arabia. With inbound travel increasing steadily, supported by a range of infrastructure investment projects, the future is looking bright for Indonesian tourism - as has been noted by many of the top global hotel groups.
BMI Industry View
Table: Indonesia Inbound Tourism, 2011-2018
Table: Indonesia Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals, 2011-2018 ('000)
Table: Indonesia Outbound Tourism, 2011-2018
Table: Indonesia Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Destinations By Departures, 2011-2018 ('000)
Table: Indonesia Receipts For Transport & Travel, 2011-2018
Table: Indonesia Methods Of Travel, 2011-2018
Table: Indonesia Hotel Accommodation, 2011-2018
Table: Indonesia Hotels & Restaurants Industry Value, 2011-2018
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings
Security Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Rating
Table: Indonesia Airport Infrastructure Projects
Table: Global Hotel Groups Present In Indonesia
Accor Asia Pacific
Global Industry Overview
Table: Global Arrivals
Table: Global Hotel Room Numbers
Table: Global Assumptions, 2013-2018
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2013-2016 (% change y-o-y)
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014 And 2015 (%)
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
This report does not have a list of Companies Mentioned available
This report does not have a press release associated with it