Iran Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

Feb 26, 2015 - Business Monitor International - 71 pages - USD $1,295
Abstract Table of Contents Request Details Related
The outlook for the Iranian freight transport sector has changed somewhat since our last quarterly update - at least in the short term. The fall in global oil price s through the end of 2014 has caused us to revisit many of our macroeconomic assumptions for net oil exporters, Iran included, and resulted in a downgrade to many of our previous forecasts. The long-term picture is still fairly positive - Iran has a large and growing population, and there is considerable investment being made into all freight modes - but the challenges to short-term growth are salient. Nevertheless, we forecast a positive expansion in volumes through rail, air and ports in 2015 and over the medium term.

Headline Industry Data
  • 2015 port of Bandar Abbas throughput is forecast to expand by 6.7%, and to average growth of 6.8% per annum through to 2019.
  • 2015 road freight volume is forecast to expand by 3.6% and to average growth of 4.4% per annum through to 2019.
  • 2015 rail freight tonnes-km is forecast to expand by 0.3%, and to average 0.9% growth per annum through to 2019.
  • 2015 air freight tonnes-km is forecast to expand by 1.8% and to average 1.9% growth per annum to 2019.
  • 2015 total trade is forecast to experience a real contraction of 0.4%, and average positive growth of 1.3% to 2019.
Key Industry Trends

Bulking Up Ports' Capacity: Iran plans to expand the capacity of its ports by 210mn tonnes, according to the Port and Maritime Organization's Managing Director Mohammad Saeednejad. The northern and southern ports have a reloading and loading capacity of 185mn tonnes, though more than 140mn tonnes of imports, exports, transit and tranship are currently handled at the ports. Saeednejad stated that during the first seven months of 2014, the ports reported an increase of 9% y-o-y in loading and reloading, which was expected to continue until end-2014. Saeednejad also mentioned the improved handling capacity at Bandar Abbas, which is expected to increase...


The Iran Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Iran Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits
  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.


Industry Trends and Developments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.


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About the Publisher
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.