Argentina Defence & Security Report 2015
The Argentine President, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, has remained vocal in several areas and although losing a high court ruling in regards to 'vulture funds' has continued to cause strained relations for her country. None more so than against the United Kingdom for sovereignty over the Falkland Islands. Argentina refers to the Falklands as Islas Malvinas and has claimed sovereignty over them previously. Since fresh resurgence of the claims came in 2013 (marking the 30th anniversary of the Falklands war) this has continued to not only be heard but garnered massive support from her country over 2014. This has been hampered however, by the Falkland Islanders who took part in a referendum, voting by 1,513 to three to remain a British overseas territory.
This in all likelihood shall increase more so in 2015 and with Argentina's expanding armed forces tensions have raised with these new claims. However with a new election due in late 2015, and a likely return to a more conservative government, further action may be taken financially to bolster the economy after the 'vulture funds' ruling thus putting any military action on hold.
In terms of defence, much has happened in line with BMI's forecast. The Argentine government continues to upgrade and procure modern military weapons and equipment either through state controlled production or mainly US and Israeli companies....
The Argentina Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.
BMI's Argentina Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Argentinian defence and security industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Argentinian defence and security market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Asia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).
Global and Regional Political Outlooks
A strategic overview of the worlds major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict, or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the worlds wild card low-probability high-impact risks.
Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats.
BMI industry Forecast scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Political Risk assessment
- defence expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and USDbn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure per capita (USD); defence budget (local currency and USDbn).
- armed forces (to 2012): Manpower available for military service, Manpower fit for military service, Army Personnel, Navy Personnel, Air Force Personnel, Total armed forces, (000) (% population).
- arms trade: Arms and ammunition exports and imports (USDmn); Bombs, grenades and missiles exports and imports (USDmn); Revolver and pistol exports and imports (USDmn); Military weapons excluding guns and swords exports and imports (USDmn).
Drawing on BMIs heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.
Security Risk analysis
BMIs proprietary Security Risk Indices provide investors with a reliable and country-comparable guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analysts latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the states vulnerability to a serious or prolonged terrorist campaign.
Armed Forces spending/ expenditure
The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.
The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries. The reports also provide a regional overview which details specific issues and flashpoints affecting the Americas, along with potential risks in the coming year.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMIs industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Defence & Security Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.
President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner has had an eventful year. With repeated visits to the hospital it has affected her mid-term elections results. Although her party remains in control of both houses, there is a distinct lack of power she now holds over proposing new legislature as well as amending the current two term limit on presidential elects. Due to failing health and her lack of influence within the Argentine government BMI expects her not to run for president again at the end of 2015. This will greatly affect any further procurements as well as military/defensive spending.
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