Gabon Oil & Gas Report Q1 2015
The main trends and developments we highlight for Gabon's oil and gas sector are as follows:
- While we expect some near-term gains in oil production, the longer term trend for Gabon's oil sector is one of decline, due to both natural depletion at maturing fields and limited new production coming on stream.
- Although Gabon's deepwater potential offers significant upside risk to our view, the country's new hydrocarbons law has materially worsened fiscal and regulatory terms for international oil and gas companies.
- The absence of a clear investment plan to capture and monetise gas informs our bearish outlook on Gabon's gas sector. Harnessing gas will require infrastructure which the country lacks, and we question the commerciality of the country's offshore gas resources.
- Gabon's oil and gas infrastructure is critically limited. The only...
The Gabon Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for Gabon including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.
BMI's Gabon Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Gabonese oil and gas industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for Gabon to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Gabonese oil and gas market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Gabonese oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Gabon.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook
Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs
Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)
BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts
BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
A string of significant discoveries in Gabon's deepwater offshore offer upside risk to the country's longer term oil production outlook, although a challenging operating environment, the strains of a lower oil price environment and long project lead times all pose risk to the downside. The country's gas outlook remains heavily bearish, due to a low level of investment in midstream infrastructure, a lack of export options and limited domestic offtake.
BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Gabon 2012-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Gabon Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2018-2023)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Gabon 2018-2023)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings
Riches Lie Underground, While Above-Ground Risks Continue To Loom
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
A Dimming Outlook for Emergent Producers
Angola in the Ascendant
Brightening Horizons to the West
Mature Producers Continue to Disappoint
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
Gabon - Risk/Reward Ratings
Gabon - Upstream Ratings
Gabon - Downstream Ratings
Gabon Energy Market Overview
Licensing And Regulation
Table: Upstream Projects Database
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Gabon Energy Sector
Rising Offshore Interest
Unconventionals : New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2012-2017
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2018-2023
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
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