Chile Defence & Security Report 2015
While the number of violent domestic incidents has decreased, the level of violence has increased. In addition, violence between the police force and Mapuche, Chile's largest indigenous group, continues, with little sign of easing. Currently the Chilean government treats the Mapuches as terrorists under an anti-terrorism law; and the struggle continues to cause violent civil unrest; and with an underfunded and, as some consider, under-equipped security force, it is unlikely that the issue will be resolved in the near future. Nevertheless, more arrests in terms of human-rights abuses during Chile's dictatorship are being made and anti-corruption campaigns are gaining traction. This is likely to decrease the violence over the medium term, as Chile focuses more on domestic issues rather than international ones.
Meanwhile, the controversial HidroAysén dam was cancelled in mid-2014 thanks to lobbying from environmentalists. This has not only helped ease security concerns but also given President Michelle Bachelet popularity amongst the affected region as well as environmentalists, but in contrast has angered local unions and corporations that depended on the dam. Bachelet has further ceased the rioting from the 2013 student protests, as she has promised free education rather than privatisation of the sector which former president, Sebastián Piñera, aimed for.
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The Chile Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.
BMI's Chile Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Chilean defence and security industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Chile to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Chilean defence and security market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Asia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).
Global and Regional Political Outlooks
A strategic overview of the world's major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world's 'wild card' low-probability high-impact risks.
Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into 'Strengths', 'Weaknesses', 'Opportunities' and 'Threats'.
Political Risk Assessment
Drawing on BMI's heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.
Security Risk Analysis
BMI's proprietary Security Risk Rankings provide a reliable - and country comparable - guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst's latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our country risk expertise, we assess the state's vulnerability to a serious - or prolonged - terrorist campaign.
Armed Forces Spending/Expenditure
The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.
Domestic Security Overview
The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Budgets & Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn).
Employment: Employment in arms production (`000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force).
Macroeconomic: BMI's forecasts and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
Domestic Security Overview
The reports also provide a regional overview which details specific issues and flashpoints affecting , along with potential risks in the coming year.
Domestic security threats continue and have become more violent over 2014. T he spate of bombings in a terror campaign has seen military personnel called into action. Chile's reduction of overseas troops indicates the need to focus on domestic security issues that has been recognised by President Michelle Bachelet. However, there are further measures to be acted upon in her progressive outline for the Chilean armed forces. The bombings on the Santiago subway have rocked the nation into acting against those cell s that perpetrated the attack .
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