Iran Oil & Gas Report Q4 2014
We highlight the following trends and developments in Iran's oil and gas sector:
The Iran Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for Iran including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.
- Iran holds the fourth-largest oil reserves and second-largest gas reserves in the world. Given the maturity of the country's fields, the replenishment of oil reserves remains an important issue. A vast majority of gas reserves in the country remain undeveloped, a situation which will endure in a context of...
BMI's Iran Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian oil and gas industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for Iran to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian oil and gas market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook
Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs
Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)
BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts
BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
Despite a small increase in oil production and exports following the Geneva Interim Agreement, a more significant increase of Iranian crude production and exports can only result from an easing or lifting of international sanctions. In such a situation , a significant ramp-up in production and exports to pre-sanction levels would take (at the very least) three to four years from when sanctions are lifted. Years of underinvestment, maturing oil fields and a lack of field and well maintenance has damaged fields, possibly permanently , destroying some of the country's production capacity. Gas production will continue to grow slowly. However, similarly to oil, a lack of access to capital and technology will prevent production from accelerating sufficiently to meet surging demand. This will translate into gas shortages.
BMI Industry View
Oil And Gas Reserves
Table: Iran - Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2012-2017
Table: Iran - Proven Oil & Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2018-2023
Oil Supply And Demand
Table: Iran - Oil Production And Net Exports, 2012-2017
Table: Iran - Oil Production And Net Exports, 2018-2023
Table: Selection Of Upstream Projects
Refining And Oil Products Trade
Table: Iran Refining - Production and Consumption, 2012-2017
Table: Iran Refining - Production and Consumption, 2018-2023
Gas Supply And Demand
Table: Iran - Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2012-2017
Table: Iran - Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2018-2023
Increasing Demand For Domestic Gas
Looming Shortages As South Pars Development Struggles
Table: South Pars Project Phases
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East - Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: BMI's Middle East Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings (RRRs)
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Rating
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Rating
Iran - Risk/Reward Ratings
Iran - Overview
Iran Upstream Rating - Rewards
Iran Upstream Rating - Risks
Iran Downstream Rating - Overview
Iran Energy Market Overview
Licensing And Regulation
International Energy Relations
Table: Key Upstream Operators - Iran Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Downstream Operators - Iran Energy Sector
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Table: Refineries In Iran
Oil Storage Facilities
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Iranian Oil And Gas Sector
National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)
National Iranian Oil Refining & Distribution Company (NIORDC)
China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC)
ONGC Videsh (OVL)
Middle East Energy Market Overview
Proven Producers Invest To Lift Oil Output
OPEC: Major Hurdles Ahead
Consuming It All
Gas Rises, But Consumption Does Too
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
OPEC Reconsiders Modus Operandi
Production Outages Look Likely To Persist
Global Oil Demand Picks Up
Capex Growth Cycle Shifting Gears
Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, Annual Average, USD/bbl
Middle East - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Net LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Iran - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Production, Production Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Production, Production Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Iran Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
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