Slovakia Oil & Gas Report Q4 2014
The key trends and developments in Slovakia's oil and gas sector are:
The Slovakia Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for Slovakia including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.
- Slovakia is almost entirely dependent on Russian oil and gas imports for its domestic consumption, with a total hydrocarbon import bill expected to come in at 5.65USD in 2014. There is little prospect for an increase in oil or gas production increase.
- While we expect the 130,000b/d Bratislava refinery will continue to run at high utilisation rates, downside risk to refined fuels production exists, given the difficult context for European refiners as a whole. The country will remain a small net refined fuels exporter throughout our forecast period.
- While oil consumption will increase slightly, gas consumption will stall, with downside risk if further gas-fired power generating capacity is shut. E.ON said it would mothball its combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) in Mal?enice, Slovakia, effective October 2013
- The European Commission unveiled a EUR5.85bn funding push to diversify gas and power infrastructure...
BMI's Slovakia Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Slovak oil and gas industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for Slovakia to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Slovak oil and gas market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Slovak oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Slovakia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook
Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs
Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)
BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts
BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
Slovakia has above-average energy import dependency with high overall energy intensity compared with the regional average. The country remains dependent on Russia , but a recently announced EUR5.9bn EU infrastructure programme aims to allow for more flexibility when negotiating gas purchases and may boost supply.
BMI Industry View
Oil And Gas Reserves
Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2018-2023
Oil Supply And Demand
Table: Slovakia Oil Production And Net Exports, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2018-2023
Refining And Oil Products Trade
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Refining - Production And Consumption, 2018-2023
Gas Supply And Demand
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2018-2023
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
Caspian Retains Upstream Ratings Lead
Russia: Large Resource Base, But Growing Technical Challenges
Regional Minnows Breaking In
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Rating
Little Change In Downstream Rankings
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
Slovakia - Risk/Reward Ratings
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Overview
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Rewards
Slovakia Upstream Rating - Risks
Slovakia Downstream Rating - Overview
Slovakia Energy Market Overview
Licensing And Regulation
International Energy Relations
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Table: Refineries In Slovakia
Oil Storage Facilities
Gas Storage Facilities
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Slovak Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Downstream Players
Central And Eastern Europe Overview
Trade Dynamic To Persist But Growth Moves East
Weaning Off Russian Oil And Gas Proving Difficult
Azerbaijan Main Beneficiary Of Eastern Europe's Russian Fatigue
Moving From Pipeline To LNG
South Stream Looking Weak
Black (Sea) Gold Could Provide Relief
Shale Gas Showdown
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
OPEC Reconsiders Modus Operandi
Production Outages Look Likely To Persist
Global Oil Demand Picks Up
Capex Growth Cycle Shifting Gears
Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, Annual Average, USD/bbl
Central And Eastern Europe - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Slovakia - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Slovakia Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Slovakia Refined Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Refined Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Slovakia Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2012-2017
Table: Slovakia Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2018-2023
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
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