India Telecommunications Report Q4 2014

Sep 16, 2014 - Business Monitor International - 122 pages - USD $1,295
Abstract Table of Contents Request Details Related
Despite the huge investment opportunities posed by the lack of adequate broadband infrastructure in metropolitan markets and basic services in rural areas, the Indian telecoms market is challenging for new and established players alike. The fluid regulatory regime is open to highly variable interpretation by the government, the regulators and the most influential businesses while the fragmented nature of the mobile and wireline markets - caused by the imposition of a regional licensing scheme - means that investment has largely targeted the most affluent areas of the country and bypassed large numbers of rural consumers. In an effort to justify investment in mobile and broadband infrastructures, operators have resorted to intense price competition to win and retain consumers. This is not sustainable over the long term.

Key Data
  • By June 2014, the Indian mobile subscriber base rose to 911mn subscribers; we forecast 912.9mn subscribers by the end of 2014 and 1.052bn by 2018.
  • The deployment of 4G TD-LTE mobile broadband networks is well underway. Added to the ongoing rollout of 3G, there are considerable opportunities for operators to counter falling incomes from voice and messaging, although we caution that the premium non-voice services market is still in its infancy.
  • Operators harbour large numbers of inactive subscriptions and, as these are gradually stripped away, so a healthier picture of mobile ARPU development will emerge. However, reduced 2G voice and 3G data tariffs are undermining progress in this area.
  • 3G/4G subscriptions are forecast to grow from 66.1mn in 2013 to 99.2mn in 2014 before rising to 202.0mn in 2018.
  • Wireline broadband is undermined by the high cost of services and devices as well as a lack of adequate infrastructure. The Bharat Broadband next-generation network project has made no progress in the last two years. We forecast total wireline and mobile broadband subscribers to rise to 30.4mn in 2014 and to 40.5mn by...
The India Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of India's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's India Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in India.

Key Benefits
  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for India to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in India's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in India.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:
  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).
Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.