Greece Infrastructure Report Q3 2014

Jul 29, 2014 - Business Monitor International - 72 pages
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We have revised down our forecasts for 2014 real construction industry value growth from -10% to -15% on the back of a further 25% contraction in industry value in the first three months of 2014. We have however revised up our forecasts for 2015 onwards as we factor in major projects going into construction. Large scale privatisations of transport assets seems to be on the cusp of materialising after years of delays, which provide further upside to our transport forecasts.

Key Areas Offering Growth Potential

Kasteli Airport PPP tender;

Elliniko EUR7bn mixed used development;

TAP gas pipeline to enter construction in 2015;

European projects of common interest (PCI) in energy;

Ports privatisations - Thessaloniki and Piraeus;

We have factored in our forecasts the construction of the TAP natural gas pipeline and the construction of the Elliniko complex, though the later will extend beyond our forecast period.

We see further upside to our forecasts if the privatisations of the ports of Piraeus and Thessaloniki and the PPP for the EUR1.5bn Kasteli go through as planned over 2014. The European Projects of Common Interest for gas and electricity transmission projects are further upside for our energy and utilities sector.

The residential construction sector will remain depressed as activity and key indicators suggest further contraction ahead.

The Greece Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Greece Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Greek infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits
  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Greece to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Greek infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Greek infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Greece.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.