Cameroon Oil & Gas Report Q3 2014

Jul 15, 2014 - Business Monitor International - 99 pages
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Cameroon is on the cusp of a significant, but possibly temporary, upswing in production led primarily by a big increase in gas. Yet it is still a country that is overlooked because the top line numbers - declining oil production, flat gas reserves - tend to mean investors look for greener pastures. However, mid-rank independents are having some success and the offshore has had some encouraging exploration results since 2012. The gas picture i n particular is encouraging. New projects coming on stream in 2014 -2016 will boost gas volumes through the decade, from 0.5bcm in 2014 to 3.3bcm by 2013. The cautionary note is a shortage of discoveries to maintain the gas momentum, should exploration not pick up. However GDF Suez is bullish on an LNG export terminal by the end of the decade . This could pique upstream interest.

Here are the highlights of Cameroon's Upstream and Midstream:
  • Increased exploration activities are vital to Cameroon, if it is to offset the decline in its maturing oil fields; over the past two decades, oil production in the country has roughly halved. The country's offshore basins notably offer upside risk. However, the Bamboo-1 well drilled in 2014 in the underexplored Douala basin disappointed, turning out to be dry. Upside risk exists from the ongoing licensing round which is offering one onshore and three offshore blocks.
  • The country is particularly keen to capture a slice of the action in West Africa's waters. Recent discoveries in offshore Ghana and Equatorial Guinea have raised hopes that Cameroon's waters may hold similar offshore deposits. However, despite its attractive licensing environment, we note that Cameroon lacks access to the deepwater acreage where sub-salt prospects running from Sierra Leone to Angola have attracted interest from international oil companies (IOCs) and several smaller players.
  • We forecast oil production to rise slightly to a peak of 85,000b/d in 2017 from 2013 levels of...

The Cameroon Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for Cameroon including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.

BMI's Cameroon Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Cameroonian oil and gas industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for Cameroon to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Cameroonian oil and gas market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Cameroonian oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Cameroon.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview

Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook

Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs

Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)

Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)

BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape

Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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About the Publisher
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.