Australia Agribusiness Report Q3 2014

Jul 4, 2014 - Business Monitor International - 124 pages
Abstract Table of Contents Request Details Related
PRINT & SHARE
The Australian agriculture sector is still recovering from a decade of subdued production growth due to extreme weather and a lack of investment. The industry is expected to remain buoyant in 2014 and 2015 , largely supported by export demand from Asia and elevated grains and oilseeds prices . In the longer term, we see major export growth opportunities in the sugar and livestock sectors. Although Australia will face stiff competition from Asian countries such as Thailand for sugar, and from the US and Brazil for meat, the country will remain a key player in those industries. Apart fro m growing competition , Australia will have to face high production costs and a vulnerability to extreme weather .

Key Forecasts
  • Beef consumption growth to 2018: 3.9% to 810,800 tonnes. Demand growth will be largely driven by population growth, as consumption per capita is projected to decrease over time due to health consciousness.
  • Sugar consumption growth to 2018: 4.0% to 1.3mn tonnes. As a result of the trend towards healthier eating, we believe sugar consumption growth will slow slightly over the forecast period.
  • Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 24.9% to 28.1mn tonnes. The high growth rate is due to base effects following 2012/13's drop in production. Although exports opportunities in Asia will incentivise farmers to increase production, resources constraints will limit growth.
  • BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD 23. 54 bn in 2014; up from USD23.00bn in 2013 ; growth expected to average 2.1% annually between 2014 and 2018.
  • 2014 real GDP growth : 2.3 %; down from 2.4% in 2013. Forecast to average 2.6% from 2014 to 2018.
  • 2014 consumer price index: 2.3 % ( averag e); down from 2.4% in 2013. Forecast to average 2.4% from 2014 to 2018.
  • 2014 central bank policy rate (average): 2.25 %; down from 2.50% in 2013. Forecast to average 2.40% from 2014 to 2018.
...

The Australia Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Australia Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits
  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
  • Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.
Coverage

BMI Industry View

An analytical summary of BMI's latest key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook for agribusiness in Australia.

Industry SWOT Analysis

At-a-glance perspectives on the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market's agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2018 for the consumption, production and trade of key agricultural commodities.

Consumption forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and, increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.

Production forecasts examine the trends influencing BMI's production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.

Trade forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country's trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.

BMI's forecasts are accompanied by a Risks- to-Outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.

BMI's Commodity Price Analysis

Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for key agricultural commodities, based on globally-recognised benchmarks.

Downstream Analysis

Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.

Featured Analysis

Includes relevant articles from BMI's daily analysis service. These can include long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports, our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country, our analysis of fertilizer production as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events on Store and Landing Pages.

Methodology & Sourcing

The Australia Agribusiness Report is based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.


Order This Report

EASY ORDERING
Once you’ve selected your preferred license option, hit ‘order now’ to complete the checkout process using any major credit card, check or wire/bank transfer.
MC, Visa, AMEX, Diners, Discovery, JCB

The Fast Market Research Advantage
Only the Best
All of our research is sourced from the most trusted and established global analysts and consultancies

Client Focused
From start-ups to multinationals, we focus on providing the right research to our diverse client base

Shop Securely
Our US-based customer service team and eCommerce systems adhere to highest data security standards

Industry-leading Customer Support
Individualized assistance from our expert staff is never more than an email or phone call away


About the Publisher
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.