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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including Daily Alerts, monthly regional Insights, and in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.

Central America Food & Drink Report Q2 2014

Published by Business Monitor International on Mar 21, 2014 - 123 pages
PDF - Download Now with 3 Quarterly Updates format - Download Now
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Report Abstract Table of Contents Request Details
The region's economic trajectory remains divergent. Despite our expectations for slower real GDP growth in Panama in the next several years, it will remain the regional outperformer. On the other hand, we have a more mixed outlook for growth in the 'northern triangle' countries, with Guatemala likely to fare better than Honduras and El Salvador.

Headline Industry Data (regional averages)
  • 2013 per capita food consumption (US$) = +3.35%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2018 = +4.18%.
  • 2013 alcoholic drink sales (litres) = +4.38%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2018 = +2.30%.
  • 2013 soft drink sales (litres) = +5.25%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2018 = +2.71%.
  • 2013 MGR sales (US$) = +4.43%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2018 = +5.19%.
Key Company Trends

AmBev Expands In Guatemala: Drinks giant AmBev has announced a US$100mn investment in its Guatemalan infrastructure over the next three years. According to company officials, the investment is down to the ongoing growth potential of the Guatemalan drinks market as well as healthy growth in the sector in recent years. The investment will allow for greater innovation in the drinks market including the launch of new products and packaging.

Walmart Consolidates In Central America: In early 2014 retail giant Walmart announced that it is to invest MXN15bn in its Mexican and Central American operations in a bid to increase sales floor area and upgrade e-commerce technology. In Mexico, sales floor is expected to increase by 5% while in Central America it is expected to increase by 7.6%, signifying that the retailer's presence is to grow more substantially in Costa Rica, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua than in its traditional heartland of Mexico.

Key Risks To Outlook

Central America will remain heavily dependent on the performance of the US economy, which continues to be a major source for remittance flows and a destination for goods exports. The US accounts for over onethird of total exports in every country in Central America except Panama. While our Agribusiness team believes stronger US consumer demand is unlikely to bolster coffee exports, given saturated market dynamics, rising household consumption and a stronger US dollar there is likely to be an increase in demand for textiles and other goods, with the benefits trickling down through other parts of the economy.






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