Key Insights And Key Risks

By most metrics, the insurance sector in New Zealand remains underdeveloped in early 2013. This is partly because of the socialisation of risk through the Earthquake Commission (EQC) and the Accident Compensation Corporation (ACC), in the non-life (property and casualty) and life segments respectively. The EQC demonstrated its effectiveness in the wake of the main Christchurch earthquake of February 22, 2011. The Accident Compensation Corporation has been actively introducing reforms and changes to resolve its long-term funding issues.

However, there are other challenges. These include a fairly sluggish economy, a general absence of consumer confidence and the maturity of many of the main non-life lines. Non-life companies have been able to pass on costs of higher reinsurance premiums to their customers. Overall, though, non-life premiums are growing at single-digit rates. There is no obvious catalyst for this to change.

In the life segment, two main trends continue to stand out. First, premium growth, as in the non-life segment, is sluggish. This may be because of the recent compression in real incomes. A more fundamental problem, which the Financial Services Council hopes to address, is that New Zealanders tend not to see the need for life insurance products and/or begrudge having to pay premiums. Second, the assets under management (AUM) of the KiwiSaver schemes have been growing rapidly. We believe life density will still be low by the standards of developed countries at the end of the forecast period.

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